Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 129.473083 147.709039 167.981868 192.258070 220.626633 252.834414 292.319232
2025-11-16 103.145902 126.641451 155.053374 192.201681 239.873353 299.508444 380.562333
2025-11-23 87.610196 113.175004 145.959831 191.594525 254.275557 338.526899 462.353562
2025-11-30 77.845857 104.754383 140.943351 193.974123 271.060278 381.173230 554.304511
2025-12-07 67.708921 94.144649 131.086969 187.539840 273.529835 402.774100 617.976040
2025-12-14 60.863560 87.136510 125.136546 185.456072 281.359415 432.466581 698.003314
2025-12-21 56.322314 82.850623 122.470116 187.650036 295.586882 473.535255 803.075175
2025-12-28 53.738591 81.144200 123.365490 195.297254 319.298534 533.180541 950.824565
2026-01-04 50.866959 78.636926 122.637913 200.029042 338.463630 587.478592 1098.594063
2026-01-11 47.107011 74.312447 118.476273 198.336058 345.888871 621.348346 1212.555664
2026-01-18 44.903865 72.307337 117.905161 202.736713 364.815795 679.351791 1387.000654
2026-01-25 41.994417 68.837732 114.473808 201.518096 372.814330 716.903392 1524.570832
2026-02-01 39.481377 66.078274 112.448347 203.529875 389.179602 777.845862 1738.290487
2026-02-08 36.897251 62.988114 109.583690 203.733464 402.290916 835.164335 1960.833069
2026-02-15 34.490576 59.973680 106.517351 203.094871 413.453301 890.155142 2192.513897
2026-02-22 32.733953 57.976584 105.131508 205.638932 431.866635 965.321123 2499.461446
2026-03-01 30.063167 54.021016 99.576784 198.761764 427.937260 985.896476 2658.888181
2026-03-08 28.171764 51.392759 96.376316 196.535039 434.480918 1033.931867 2914.227777
2026-03-15 26.926165 49.910716 95.322636 198.879527 452.344086 1114.941929 3298.442957
2026-03-22 26.336471 49.671860 96.778713 207.053429 486.002832 1245.920149 3893.677065
2026-03-29 25.489432 48.834848 96.890633 212.112650 512.550131 1362.956107 4485.565572
2026-04-05 24.119413 46.806397 94.259455 210.302380 520.582823 1427.413653 4908.225470
2026-04-12 23.378944 46.035300 94.295474 215.008205 547.263085 1555.104013 5630.678479